Russian President Vladimir Putin has accused the U.S., Britain and Ukraine of playing a role in the recent ISIS-K attack that slaughtered innocent concertgoers in Moscow, but the incident was a Putin intelligence failure, writes Threat Status columnist Daniel N. Hoffman, who asserts that Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) “failed to detect and preempt the threat.”
“In today’s Russia, there is no independent and impartial judiciary, no non-state media, and no real parliamentary oversight. There is only the Kremlin and what Mr. Putin refers to as the ‘vertical of power,’ which makes him alone responsible for the country’s successes and failures. That is what makes autocracies inherently brittle,” writes Mr. Hoffman, a former CIA Clandestine Service officer.
The “stakes could not be higher” for Mr. Putin, he argues, adding that “ISIS is ruthlessly focused on exacting retribution for Russia‘s alliance with Iran, its attacks on the Islamic State affiliate in Syria, and grievances among Muslims, especially in Tajikistan and Turkmenistan.” While Mr. Putin will “likely continue to search for someone to blame for the terrorist attack, … the incontrovertible fact remains that Russia is in the crosshairs of ISIS-K,” Mr. Hoffman writes.