Skip to content
TRENDING:
Advertisement

The Washington Times

Threat Status for Monday, December 23, 2024. Share this daily newsletter with your friends, who can sign up here. Send tips to National Security Editor Guy Taylor.

… German authorities say the suspect in Friday’s horrific attack that killed five people and injured at least 200 at a Christmas market in the city of Magdeburg is a Saudi doctor who arrived in Germany in 2006 and had received permanent residency. 

… While the suspect does not fit the usual profile of perpetrators of extremist attacks, the incident has sparked fears of a surge in terrorist activity in Europe. Former CIA officer Daniel N. Hoffman, who writes an opinion column for Threat Status, weighed in on the situation during an appearance on Fox News, asserting that the preemptive counterterrorism capabilities of the U.S. and its allies have diminished during the Biden era.

… South Korean military officials said Monday that more than 1,000 North Korean soldiers have been killed or wounded in Russia’s war with Ukraine and that Pyongyang now appears to be preparing to deploy more troops and equipment, including suicide drones.

… U.S. authorities have arrested dozens of members of the Venezuelan prison gang Tren de Aragua during recent operations in Colorado and New York.

… House Democrats are accusing tech billionaire Elon Musk of derailing government funding extension legislation because it could limit his business’ operating ability in China. And President-elect Donald Trump suggests he’ll look into taking back the Panama Canal because of usage fees he called a “ripoff.”

… Threat Status recently joined The Sean Spicer Show to offer an analysis of the national security implications tied to mysterious drone sightings along the East Coast.

… And National Security Tech Correspondent Ryan Lovelace has a deep dive on hidden human experiments that were conducted to help America win the Cold War-era race against Russia to reach the moon first.

High body count may not deter North Korean forces in Ukraine

In this undated photo provided on Sunday, Oct. 6, 2024, by the North Korean government, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, center, visits to watch an artillery exercise at an undisclosed place in North Korea. Independent journalists were not given access to cover the event depicted in this image distributed by the North Korean government. The content of this image is as provided and cannot be independently verified. Korean language watermark on image as provided by source reads: "KCNA" which is the abbreviation for Korean Central News Agency. (Korean Central News Agency/Korea News Service via AP, File)

Using signal intercepts and drone and satellite imagery, intelligence agencies are closely studying the movements of North Korean forces in Russia’s Kursk region — their first large-scale engagements since the Korean War of the 1950s. U.S. and Ukrainian officials are highlighting significant North Korean casualties.

South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff said Monday that more than 1,000 North Korean soldiers have been killed or wounded thus far. Drone footage from Kursk shows troops thought to be North Koreans attacking across open ground, through heavy fire and in extended-line formations. Video clips show small suicide drones hunting individual soldiers, while others show lines of bodies and the dead being evacuated by sled.

Washington Times Asia Editor Andrew Salmon offers a deeper dive, writing that North Korea’s 1.2 million-strong, conscripted military is a hugely important component among a population of 26 million. All indications are that troops fighting in Russia are risk-tolerant and willing to accept heavy casualties.

U.S.-China military friction is rising ahead of Trump's arrival in White House

Philippine military chief Gen. Romeo Brawner Jr., center, listens as an exhibitor explains the Wind Demon, a long-range air-to-surface cruise missile, during the Asian Defense and Security Exhibition on Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024, in Manila, Philippines. (AP Photo/Aaron Favila, File)

In their latest rhetorical jab, Chinese officials accused U.S. ally the Philippines on Monday of stoking regional tensions by announcing plans to acquire and deploy midrange missiles to defend its territory from Chinese naval aggression.

The U.S. already deployed a Typhon midrange missile system in the northern Philippines in April. American and Filipino troops have been conducting joint training for potential use of the heavy weaponry to boost deterrence against Beijing’s expanding military activities in the South China Sea. China’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning said Monday that deployment of a midrange missile by the Philippines would “incite geopolitical confrontation” and an “arms race.” 

In a separate development over the weekend, Beijing protested Washington’s announcement of fresh U.S. military sales and assistance to Taiwan, warning the U.S. that it is “playing with fire.” Threat Status is tracking the developments, with a particular eye on how Mr. Trump may respond.

Two U.S. Navy fighter pilots shot down over Red Sea

A fighter jet maneuvers on the deck of the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower in the Red Sea, June 11, 2024. (AP Photo/Bernat Armangue, File)

Two Navy pilots ejected over the Red Sea early Sunday after their fighter jet was shot down in a “friendly fire” incident, according to Pentagon officials, who said the American guided missile cruiser USS Gettysburg mistakenly fired on and hit the pilots’ F/A-18F Super Hornet aircraft.

The mistaken shoot-down seems to have taken place during U.S. airstrikes that targeted Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen. A U.S. Central Command statement over the weekend said American forces had “conducted precision airstrikes against a missile storage facility and a command-and-control facility” used by the Houthis in Sana’a, the capital of Yemen.

The near-deadly friendly fire incident, meanwhile, could carry significant political and foreign policy ramifications, as it’s likely to elevate the debate about the wisdom of continuing America’s expensive, dangerous air campaign against the Houthis. Pentagon officials said there will be a thorough review of the incident.

While Central Command referred to both as “pilots,” typically a two-seat F/A-18 has a pilot and a weapons officer on board.

Opinion: Russia will abandon North Korea

Russia and North Korea illustration by Alexander Hunter/The Washington Times

When then-Syrian dictator Bashar Assad visited Vladimir Putin in July, he was no doubt told by the Russian president that Moscow would protect the Assad regime, writes Joseph R. DeTrani

“But Russia didn’t protect the Assad regime,” writes Mr. DeTrani, a former senior U.S. intelligence official and opinion contributor to Threat Status, who assesses that a similar fate will befall North Korea concerning its hope for lasting Russian support.

Despite the inking this past June of a new treaty with Pyongyang, Moscow will “likely walk away from North Korea” when the Ukraine war ends, writes Mr. DeTrani. “Once North Korea ceases to be of value to Mr. Putin, North Korea will have to find its own way,” he writes, adding that Pyongyang should reengage with the incoming Trump administration.

Opinion: Biden has largely ignored Africa, but Trump can reverse course

United States investing in Africa illustration by Greg Groesch / The Washington Times

It is plainly apparent that the U.S. has been steadily eclipsed in Africa by other nations, according to Gerard Leval, who writes that Islamist groups are seeking increased influence on the continent and that China has taken the economic lead there.

“There is a crying need for investment in Africa,” writes Mr. Leval, adding that “only China seems willing to step up and take the risks involved in investments in Africa and to finance those investments.”

“It should be self-evident that this dilemma creates an important opening and opportunity for the United States,” writes Mr. Legal, an author and partner in the Washington office of a national law firm. “Contrary to the many naysayers in our nation, Americans are viewed favorably in Africa. Our ability to innovate, to take risks and to bring our incredible know-how are highly valued. There is a desire to see us reengage in Africa.”

Threat Status Events Radar

• Jan. 6 — NVIDIA CEO Keynote at CES, NVIDIA

• Jan. 7-10 — CES 2025, Consumer Technology Association

• Jan. 7 — The Hidden Costs: Transparency and the U.S. Arms Trade, Stimson Center

• Jan. 8 — The Role of Religion and Spirituality in U.S. Security Assistance, Center for Strategic and International Studies

• Jan. 9 — What Do People in Taiwan and the United States Think about Taiwan’s Security Situation? Brookings Institution 

Thanks for reading Threat Status. Don’t forget to share it with your friends, who can sign up here. And listen to our weekly podcast available here or wherever you get your podcasts.

If you’ve got questions, Guy Taylor and Ben Wolfgang are here to answer them.