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Moscow claims Ukrainian forces have fired a wave of U.S.-made Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) missiles into Russia.

… Is President Biden trying to hobble President-elect Donald Trump’s push for an end to the Ukraine war, or will his authorization for Ukraine to strike inside Russia with U.S.-made weapons bolster the incoming administration’s leverage?

… A vital undersea communications cable linking new NATO member Finland to Germany has broken and security analysts are pointing the finger at Russia.

… Chinese President Xi Jinping warns Mr. Biden during their meeting in Peru not to cross a number of “red lines” regarding Taiwan and the communist system.

… Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin condemns China’s regional aggression during a visit to Manila on Tuesday and says the U.S.-Philippines alliance will transcend administrations.

… Major defense contractor AeroVironment is acquiring the advanced defense tech development firm BlueHalo — both Virginia-based — in a deal sources say is likely to make waves in the Pentagon’s pursuit of artificial intelligence-operated drones.

… The Turkish government denies that Hamas is relocating its political bureau to Turkey, following reports that Qatar wants the Iran-backed group out of its current base in Doha.

… A day after a Hezbollah missile strike on Tel Aviv and Israeli strikes on Beirut, U.S. Special Envoy Amos Hochstein is urging Israel, Lebanon and Hezbollah to agree to a cease-fire.

… The Institute for the Study of War think tank’s latest “Iran Update” features detailed maps of Hezbollah’s anti-tank guided missile strikes against Israel, as well as Israel’s attacks inside Lebanon.

… And Pakistan has banned gatherings of five or more people as supporters of jailed former Prime Minister Imran Khan prepare to march.

Moscow claims Ukraine fired six U.S.-made ATACMS into Russia

Russian President Vladimir Putin points during a meeting with foreign policy experts at the Valdai Discussion Club in the Black Sea resort of Sochi, Russia, Thursday, Nov. 7, 2024. (Maxim Shipenkov/Pool Photo via AP)

The Russian Defense Ministry claimed Tuesday that Ukrainian forces fired six U.S.-made Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) missiles into Russia’s Bryansk region, which borders Ukraine, just days after the U.S. president eased restrictions on Kyiv’s use of American-made weapons in the now 1,000-day-old war.

Ukraine claimed it hit a military weapons depot in Bryansk in the middle of the night, though it didn’t specify what weapons it used. The Associated Press cited the Ukrainian General Staff as saying multiple explosions and detonations were heard in the targeted area. Moscow claimed Russian military forces shot down five ATACMS missiles, and damaged one more.

The developments came a day after Russian officials reacted furiously to Mr. Biden’s decision to allow Ukrainian forces greater use of American long-range missiles, saying Washington has explicitly ignored a warning from President Vladimir Putin not to do so.

Inside Biden's confusing calculus on Ukraine

In this image provided by the U.S. Army, Sgt. Ian Ketterling, gunner for Alpha Battery, 1st Battalion, 3rd Field Artillery Regiment, 17th Field Artillery Brigade, prepares the crane for loading the Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) onto the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) in Queensland, Australia, on July 26, 2023. (Sgt. 1st Class Andrew Dickson/U.S. Army via AP) **FILE**

One major question remains as the raging Russia-Ukraine war approaches the three-year mark: What, exactly, does Mr. Biden want Ukraine to achieve? His final move of consequence has been to allow Ukraine to fire further into Russia with U.S.-made weapons, just nine weeks ahead of Mr. Trump’s arrival in the White House.

National Security Correspondent Ben Wolfgang offers a deeper analysis, noting that Mr. Trump has vowed to end the war quickly and has said he will push for immediate cease-fire negotiations. Some fear he could use U.S. military aid as leverage to pressure Ukraine to accept a cease-fire deal, even one that cedes Ukrainian territory to Russia.

Mr. Biden’s decision to let Ukraine hit deeper inside Russia may allow the outgoing administration to retroactively say it gave Ukraine everything needed to win the war, setting up Democrats to blame Mr. Trump if Ukraine accepts less-than-ideal peace terms with Moscow.

Beijing says Xi delivered ultimatums to Biden in Peru

President Joe Biden approaches to shake hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping before a bilateral meeting, Saturday, Nov. 16, 2024, in Lima, Peru. (Leah Millis/Pool Photo via AP)

China’s president warned Mr. Biden on the sidelines of the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation meeting in Lima, Peru, over the weekend not to cross Beijing’s “red lines” regarding Taiwan and the communist system. “A new Cold War should not be fought and cannot be won,” and “containing China is unwise, unacceptable and bound to fail,” Mr. Xi was quoted as saying in Chinese state media.

The White House made no mention of Mr. Xi’s demands in its readout, merely calling the meeting “candid [and] constructive.” However, Mr. Biden did condemn the deployment of thousands of North Korean troops to Russia and expressed deep concern over China’s continued support for Russia’s defense industrial base, according to the American version of the conversation.

The meeting played out amid speculation over how the incoming Trump administration may shift U.S. policy toward China. In 2018, Mr. Trump authorized the CIA to conduct a clandestine influence campaign designed to turn people in China against the communist government. National Security Correspondent Bill Gertz covered the Biden-Xi meeting, reporting that while Mr. Biden has rejected regime change as U.S. policy, China has made no secret of its goal of one day replacing the U.S. capitalist system with its brand of socialism as the global standard.

Trump’s mass deportation plan includes military role

Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump speaks along the southern border with Mexico, on Aug. 22, 2024, in Sierra Vista, Ariz. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, File)

Mr. Trump confirmed Monday that he plans to ask the U.S. military to assist with a massive deportation effort of illegal immigrants, but it remains unclear whether he envisions U.S. troops acting as deportation officers with arrest powers or using them in a support role.

Trump officials previously signaled that they expected the second option. It’s also unclear whether Mr. Trump’s vision is for troops to speed up deportations at the southern border or as part of an effort to scour the interior of the country for illegal immigrants who have settled in communities far from the Mexican border.

In his first administration, Mr. Trump used an emergency declaration to commandeer part of the Pentagon budget to finance hundreds of miles of border wall between the U.S. and Mexico. Using troops at the border has plenty of precedent: Every president since George H.W. Bush has tapped the military to help with border enforcement. In recent years, the military role has been strictly limited to supporting operations such as tracking illegal border crossers or handling office tasks to free Border Patrol personnel to return to the field.

Opinion: What China's Zhuhai Air Show should teach the West

The Chinese Bayi aerobatics team take to the sky at the 15th China International Aviation and Aerospace Exhibition, also known as Airshow China 2024 at Zhuhai in southern China's Guangdong province on Tuesday, Nov. 12, 2024. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)

The Chinese aviation industry’s growth and expansion capacity are impressive, but the Chinese have not achieved this on their own, writes Carl O. Schuster, who adds that “Western commercial aircraft manufacturers outsourced some of their component production to China to save costs and trained Chinese engineers.”

“They didn’t realize they were selling their competitive advantage or were too shortsighted to care. Regardless, those skills are as important to China’s aviation industry advances as any knowledge stolen by espionage,” writes Mr. Schuster, a former director of operations at the U.S. Pacific Command Joint Intelligence Center.

“Gathering or developing the data and designs for weapons, airframes and systems is the first stage of the development process,” he writes, adding that “modern and future unmanned systems require various levels of artificial intelligence, a technology heavily dependent on advanced programming and computer engineers as well as scientists. It is clear that China has developed the human capital to do so, and its days of reverse engineering foreign systems are over.”

Events on our radar

• Nov. 19 — A Conversation with Commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command Adm. Samuel Paparo, Brookings Institution

• Nov. 19 — The End of UNRWA? Then What? — Gaza: The Human Toll, Center for Strategic and International Studies

• Nov. 20 — Venezuela: Policy Recommendations for a New Administration, Wilson Center

• Nov. 20 — Debriefing the U.S. Elections and their Implications for Europe, Atlantic Council

• Nov. 20 — Contemporary India: From Domestic Politics to Foreign Policy and Beyond, Hoover Institution at Stanford

• Nov. 21 — Strategic Challenges Facing the U.S.-South Korea Alliance, Hudson Institute

• Nov. 22-24Halifax International Security Forum

• Dec. 7 — 2024 Reagan National Defense Forum, Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation & Institute

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If you’ve got questions, Guy Taylor and Ben Wolfgang are here to answer them.