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President-elect Donald Trump said in a special video message this week that the idea of admitting Ukraine to the NATO alliance is “unhinged” and that the last thing the current administration should be doing is “risking war with nuclear-armed countries like Russia or China.”

… Sources tell Threat Status that Mr. Trump is considering retired Navy Capt. Hung Cao for deputy secretary of defense. Mr. Cao had a key role decades ago in recovering John F. Kennedy Jr.’s body and airplane off the coast of Martha’s Vineyard, although it’s unclear what his relationship is with JFK Jr.’s cousin, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., whom Mr. Trump has tapped to head the Department of Health and Human Services.

… North Korea claims to have tested exploding drones designed to crash into targets.

… The North Korean troop deployment to Russia is complicating China’s effort to project a neutral stance on Ukraine, according to Carla Freeman and Naiyu Kuo at the U.S. Institute of Peace.

… Human Rights Watch asserts that Israeli authorities are “responsible for war crimes and crimes against humanity” in Gaza.

… Middle East Institute scholar and longtime diplomat Gerald Feierstein is on the Threat Status Weekly Podcast episode that dropped this morning with a focus on how the incoming Trump administration plans to approach the region.

… The Israeli military’s campaign of retaliation against Iran-backed Hezbollah militants in Lebanon appeared to expand Friday with a wave of airstrikes targeting a heavily civilian area and Hezbollah stronghold in an area just south of Beirut.

… Sri Lanka’s Marxist Party has won a landslide victory in the strategically located island nation’s parliamentary elections.

… And the Pentagon says suicide among military personnel rose in 2023 over the previous year despite an increase in prevention efforts.

Hegseth’s combat experience may come in handy

Pete Hegseth walks to an elevator for a meeting with President-elect Donald Trump at Trump Tower in New York on Dec. 15, 2016. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci) ** FILE **

Mr. Trump’s nomination of Army veteran and outspoken Fox News commentator Pete Hegseth to lead the Pentagon and the 1.3 million active-duty men and women in uniform surprised supporters and opponents alike and raised immediate questions over whether Mr. Trump’s often-rocky relations with the military brass in his first term will be repeated in his second.

Pentagon Correspondent Mike Glenn and Political Reporter Mallory Wilson sift through the barrage of lawmaker reactions to the Hegseth pick, writing that several congressional Republicans have rushed to defend Mr. Trump’s unorthodox choice, but some Democrats and private military analysts questioned Mr. Hegseth’s qualifications to carry out one of the nation’s most complex and delicate posts.

Mr. Hegseth, 44, was a combat infantry officer in Iraq and Afghanistan. He has an impressive academic pedigree, with an undergraduate degree from Princeton and a master’s degree from Harvard. He is highly effective on television, a quality Mr. Trump is known to prize.

Podcast: Will Trump be able to engage the Gulf Arab powers?

This March 27, 2008, photo shows the Pentagon in Washington.  (AP Photo/Charles Dharapak) ** FILE **

Presumably over the next four years, there is going to be a “massive bill that’s going to come due” with regard to paying for “reconstruction in Yemen, reconstruction in Gaza [and] reconstruction in Lebanon,” according to longtime U.S. diplomat Gerald Feierstein, who tells the latest edition of the Threat Status Weekly Podcast that “the United States is not going to foot that bill, nor is Western Europe, nor is anybody else.”

Mr. Feierstein, who heads the Middle East Institute’s Arabian Peninsula Affairs Program, says a bill of perhaps “hundreds of billions of dollars” needed for reconstruction and rehabilitation of these societies is “going to have to come” from the wealthy Gulf Arab nations, and there are really only four that have the budget for it: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Qatar.

The retired ambassador also weighs in on the broader role Saudi Arabia is expected to play in the coming administration’s Mideast policy. He assesses that Washington’s relationship with Riyadh — as well as with Kuwait, the UAE and Qatar — will be “quite different than it was in 2016 or 2017.”

Pentagon report says UFOs shadowed military pilots and mysterious drones flew over U.S. nuclear sites

This Jan. 2, 2020, photo shows red lights from wind turbines in the distance in the area of Genoa and Hugo, Colo., where sightings of unidentified large drones in the air have been reported. An official investigation into reports of large drones flying in groups over the western U.S. plains in the hours after sunset has confirmed nothing illegal or out of the ordinary, a finding of little solace to folks who say the truth is still out there. Investigators will scale back flights of a heat-detecting plane to try to corroborate reports as they're made but will continue to look into new reports, Colorado officials said Tuesday, Jan. 14. (RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post via AP) **FILE**

The Pentagon received more than 700 claims of UFO sightings from May 2023 through June 1 of this year, with hundreds still unexplained, including at least three instances in which mysterious craft shadowed U.S. military aircraft, according to an official Defense Department report made public on Nov. 14.

The report from the Pentagon’s All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office, or AARO, was released the day after a Capitol Hill hearing in which former military personnel alleged that the federal government has operated a decades-long “unidentified anomalous phenomena” (UAP) recovery program and is secretly in possession of otherworldly spacecraft. The Pentagon addresses such allegations in its report.

“It is important to underscore that, to date, AARO has discovered no evidence of extraterrestrial beings, activity, or technology,” the document states. It does, however, acknowledge hundreds of mysterious encounters, most in the air but some also taking place in outer space.

Opinion: North Korea's Kim should pay for his Ukraine misadventure

The United States catching North Korea illustration by Alexander Hunter/The Washington Times

The presence of North Korean troops in “the most destructive ground war in Europe since World War II is unprecedented,” writes retired CIA officer and Threat Status contributor Daniel N. Hoffman, who argues that “the incoming Trump administration would do well to make North Korea and Russia pay a price for their collaboration while seeking to drive a wedge between them.”

Mr. Hoffman outlines a range of steps the U.S. could and should take, including encouraging South Korea to supply arms directly to Ukraine. “A direct supply line from Seoul to Kyiv would be a force multiplier for Ukraine’s desperate defense of its homeland.” he writes, adding that the U.S. intelligence community also “needs to step up its full-court press to recruit Russian sources, particularly those with access to sensitive information about Mr. Putin’s North Korea strategy, and work with Ukraine to build a defector program designed to entice disgruntled North Korean soldiers and officers.”

Opinion: Trump can secure America’s energy future and global leadership

Trump securing America's energy future with nuclear power illustration by Linas Garsys / The Washington Times

As Mr. Trump returns to the White House, he faces a “great opportunity to revitalize America’s nuclear energy sector, enhance domestic energy security and assert global leadership,” according to Rep. Jeff Duncan, South Carolina Republican.

“Mr. Trump has the opportunity to transform America’s nuclear waste challenge into a triumph of innovation and global leadership,” writes Mr. Duncan. “By investing in proliferation-resistant recycling methods, fast reactor technology and a closed fuel cycle, the U.S. can secure its energy future, create jobs and reestablish itself as the world’s preeminent nuclear power.”

This strategy would also offer “allies and partners a reliable alternative to Chinese and Russian nuclear technologies,” the congressman writes. “Mr. Trump can leave a lasting legacy of energy innovation, environmental stewardship and international cooperation through this bold vision, ensuring America’s continued leadership in the Atomic Age.”

Events on our radar

• Nov. 18 — U.S. Election: Where to now? Lowy Institute in Australia

• Nov. 18 — ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum 2024, Center for Strategic and International Studies

• Nov. 19 — The End of UNRWA? Then What?—Gaza: The Human Toll, Center for Strategic and International Studies

• Nov. 21 — Strategic Challenges Facing the U.S.–South Korea Alliance, Hudson Institute

• Nov. 22-24 — Halifax International Security Forum

• Dec. 7 — 2024 Reagan National Defense Forum, Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation & Institute

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If you’ve got questions, Guy Taylor and Ben Wolfgang are here to answer them.