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Hezbollah’s acting leader is vowing to fight on after leader Hassan Nasrallah’s assassination by Israel. 

… Israeli commandos are reported to be making cross-border raids into Lebanon in preparation for a possible ground invasion.

… A former Israeli intelligence official tells the Threat Status podcast that the exploding Hezbollah pager operation likely involved coordination with regional intelligence partners.

… Multiple explosions and rocket fire were heard in Kyiv overnight Sunday, with Ukrainian officials saying Russian forces had carried out a 33rd consecutive night of aerial attacks, firing missiles and drones at 11 regions of Ukraine.

… Washington Times Asia Editor Andrew Salmon goes inside the dramatic political shifts now playing out in Tokyo, as Japan’s likely next leader plans to call an election for Oct. 27. 

… Ten crew members aboard a Vietnamese fishing boat were injured over the weekend when the vessel came under attack in the South China Sea near the Paracel Islands, which are claimed by both China and Vietnam.

… And the two NASA astronauts stuck at the International Space Station since June welcomed the arrival over the weekend of a SpaceX capsule that is now slated to bring them home next year.

Risk of wider war grows after strike that killed Nasrallah

An Iranian worshipper holds up a poster of Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, reading in Arabic: "At your service Nasrallah" during an anti-Israeli rally after Friday prayers in Tehran, Iran, Friday, Sept. 27, 2024. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Nasrallah, the longtime leader of the terrorist group Hezbollah, is the most powerful figure killed by Israel in its war against Hamas, Hezbollah and other branches of Iran’s so-called axis of resistance. He is also the most prominent regional player to have been successfully targeted since Iranian military commander Qassem Soleimani was killed in January 2020 by a U.S. drone strike in Baghdad.

For the U.S., the death of Nasrallah further fuels fears that escalation in the Middle East is inevitable or has arrived. President Biden in a statement Saturday cast the Israeli strike that killed Nasrallah as a just act, but he once again pleaded for all sides to avoid further conflict and embrace cease-fire proposals.

Israel said it targeted other top Hezbollah commanders on Sunday, just two days after the Nasrallah strike in Beirut. Hezbollah’s acting leader Naim Kassem vowed on Monday to continue battling Israel and said the militant group was prepared for a long fight. Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, meanwhile, has reportedly been moved to a secure location amid fears of Israeli strikes inside Iran.

Podcast: The 'meticulously tailored chess game' behind Hezbollah's exploding pagers

Civil Defense first-responders carry a man who was wounded after his handheld pager exploded, in the southern port city of Sidon, Lebanon, Tuesday, Sept. 17, 2024.(AP Photo)

Former Israeli intelligence official Avi Melamed says in an exclusive interview on the latest Threat Status podcast that Israel’s ability to make hundreds of Hezbollah pager devices explode earlier this month likely involved long-term intelligence partnerships and coordination on both the international and the regional levels.

“There are agencies … in the region that have a lot of capacities and accessibility tools — inside informers and information,” says Mr. Melamed. “This is something that has been built up for years. … It involves a lot of capacities, technologically [and] human resources.”

“What I think is really interesting to think about from an intelligence perspective is that what we are looking at is a very carefully, thoroughly, meticulously tailored chess game that has been done in a long-term process,” he says, adding that from an operational perspective, those involved needed to have the ability to “play five moves ahead.”

Kim Jong-un faces economic dilemmas with no easy solution

In this photo taken during a two-day trip on Aug. 8 and Aug. 9, 2024, and provided by the North Korean government, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un visits a flood-hit area in Uiju, North Phyongan province, North Korea. Independent journalists were not given access to cover the event depicted in this image distributed by the North Korean government. The content of this image is as provided and cannot be independently verified. Korean language watermark on image as provided by source reads: "KCNA" which is the abbreviation for Korean Central News Agency. (Korean Central News Agency/Korea News Service via AP)

North Korea’s regime is trying to reassert control over its economy, but it is finding that the genie of market mechanisms cannot easily be shoved back into its bottle. Mr. Salmon goes inside the situation with a dispatch from Seoul, examining how Kim Jong-un’s failed personal summitry with President Trump led to a renewed focus on the regime’s nuclear programs, all while the COVID-19 pandemic devastated North Korea’s already anemic economy.

Ordinary North Koreans — disappointed by the failure of Mr. Kim’s U.S. overtures — suffered during the pandemic from sharp cutbacks in cross-border trade with China, long the country’s leading trade partner. A new factor has entered play over the past year, however, with two summits between Mr. Kim and Russian President Vladimir Putin in 2023 and 2024.

Moscow has extended a lifeline to Pyongyang without demanding market concessions that undercut the regime’s control of the economy. Even so, North Koreans’ poverty in the heart of prosperous, high-tech Northeast Asia is impossible to ignore, which may explain Mr. Kim’s break with Pyongyang precedents by showcasing his daughter to the North Korean public. The message: The pocketbook deprivations North Koreans are suffering in service of nuclear arms guarantee their next generation’s future.

U.S. kills dozens of ISIS, al Qaeda-linked fighters in Syria

A motorist passes by a flag of the Islamic State group in central Rawah, 175 miles (281 kilometers) northwest of Baghdad, Iraq, on July 22, 2014. (AP Photo, File)

American forces in recent days carried out major airstrikes in Syria, killing key terrorist figures and dozens of fighters linked to the Islamic State and al Qaeda, according to the Pentagon.

U.S. Central Command said in a statement over the weekend that a Sept. 16 strike targeted an Islamic State training camp in central Syria, killing at least 28 ISIS fighters, including four senior leaders.

U.S. forces then targeted the terror group Hurras al-Din, an al Qaeda affiliate, in northwest Syria on Sept. 24. That strike killed at least nine fighters, including key leader Marwan Bassam ’Abd-al-Ra’uf, who oversees the group’s operations in Syria, according to CENTCOM.

The announcement of the U.S. strikes came after the Biden administration said it will make major changes to the American anti-ISIS campaign, which began a decade ago. The Pentagon said last week that its currently authorized mission in Iraq will wind down over the next year and transition from an international coalition to a bilateral defense partnership between Washington and Baghdad.

Opinion: Ensuring NATO’s return on investment

Investing in NATO illustration by Greg Groesch / The Washington Times

Although his rhetoric can be overly provocative, Mr. Trump is correct in his criticism of disproportionate U.S. investment in NATO, writes retired Marine Corps Brig. Gen. Norm Cooling, who served in several U.S. European Command and NATO assignments in his 33 years of service.

“The United States can’t afford to prop up the alliance at historic spending levels,” writes Mr. Cooling. “Non-binding investment pledges are insufficient compensation for NATO’s Article 5 assurance that an attack on one constitutes an attack against all.”

“Our next president,” he adds, “would be wise to continue to press our allies to increase their investment and to do so in defense capabilities that are of value to the collective.”

Events on our radar

• Sept. 30 — Conflict and Displacement in Sudan: The Urgent Need to Reduce Barriers to Humanitarian Response, Center for Strategic and International Studies

• Sept. 30 — The Strategic Culture of the United Wa State Army in Myanmar, Stimson Center

• Oct. 1 — Accelerating U.S. Nuclear Leadership, Center for Strategic and International Studies

• Oct. 4 — Targeting Taiwan: Beijing’s Playbook for Economic and Cyber Warfare, Foundation for Defense of Democracies

• Oct. 4 — The United States and China in Latin America: Rivalry, Cooperation, or Something In-between? Florida International University and Brookings Institution

• Oct. 5-8 — 2024 Threat Conference, The Cipher Brief

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If you’ve got questions, Guy Taylor and Ben Wolfgang are here to answer them.