With Ukrainian forces holding territory inside Russia’s Kursk region, Russian President Vladimir Putin is facing increasing pressure at home because of the high-stakes political and security risks associated with his ongoing war in Ukraine. Retired CIA officer Daniel N. Hoffman analyzes the situation in an exclusive interview on our latest weekly podcast, asserting that “dissatisfied people” within the Russian government are “vulnerable to being recruited by the CIA [and] FBI.”
The longer Mr. Putin bombs Ukrainian civilians and pursues a war that has already resulted in hundreds of thousands of Russian casualties, the more he faces the risk that his own people may wonder whether it’s worth it, according to Mr. Hoffman, a Threat Status contributor. “Whether they take it to the point where they run the risk of trying to remove Vladimir Putin, … I don’t know whether we’re going to get to that point in the near term, but that’s the risk Putin runs,” he says.
“The more he runs the risk, … the more risks he’s willing to take to stay in power,” Mr. Hoffman adds. “And when he does that, his own people see it, and they think, ‘Well, we don’t like some of the risks he’s taking. We wish he wouldn’t.’ And that’s where you get, potentially at least, Putin’s removal, if that’s the way things go.”