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Hezbollah, Yemen’s Houthis and other regional allies armed by Iran could take part in retaliation against Israel over the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran.

…North Korea claims to have deployed nuclear-capable missiles to military units along the border with South Korea.

…Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says the long-awaited arrival of American-made F-16 fighter jets marks a “new stage” in the air war with Russia.

…Japan’s Nikkei index just had its worst day in decades amid fears the U.S. economy could be headed for recession.

…The 15-year reign of Bangladesh’s Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina has come to an end after she fled the country in the face of major protests in the South Asian nation.

…And British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is holding urgent meetings with law enforcement to address days of anti-immigrant violence across Britain.

Iranian strike on Israel said to be imminent

Hezbollah fighters stand behind the coffin of their top commander Fouad Shukur, who was killed by an Israeli airstrike on Tuesday, July 30, as Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah speaks through a screen during Shukur's funeral in a southern suburb of Beirut, Lebanon, Aug. 1, 2024. (AP Photo/Hussein Malla)

President Biden is convening his national security team amid mounting concern that Iranian missile attacks on Israel are imminent, while the United States and the United Kingdom have urged their citizens to get out of Lebanon over fears that Tehran-backed Hezbollah militants may also launch missiles or be targeted by potential Israeli counterstrikes.

The prospect of full-scale war between Israel and Iran follows last week’s assassinations of Hezbollah military chief Fuad Shukr in Beirut by an Israeli strike and Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. Iranian officials have blamed Israel for the Haniyeh strike and vowed to retaliate.

The Pentagon has dispatched a new carrier strike group, a fighter jet squadron, missile defense-capable cruisers and other military assets to the Middle East amid the rising tensions between Israel, Iran and Tehran’s network of proxy groups across the region.

The current escalation comes roughly four months after Iran carried out its first-ever direct attack on Israeli territory. The April 13 strikes were in retaliation for what Tehran said was an Israeli strike that killed seven Iranian military officers in Syria.

Opposition backlash growing in Venezuela

Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado holds a national flag while waving to supporters as she arrives for a rally in Caracas, Venezuela, Saturday, Aug. 3, 2024. (AP Photo/Matias Delacroix)

Venezuela’s political crisis deepened over the weekend, with opposition leader Maria Corina Machado joining protests in Caracas and blasting socialist President Nicolas Maduro’s “repression” of his people amid a mounting belief around the world that he stole last week’s presidential election.

Ms. Machado’s appearance before an enthusiastic crowd suggests protesters aren’t giving up the fight, despite what looks to be an increasingly heavy-handed response from the regime’s security forces.

China, Russia and Iran have expressed support for Mr. Maduro, while the U.S. and a range of democracies around the region and the world have cited evidence of election fraud. The 27 countries of the European Union issued a statement Sunday saying that they do not recognize Mr. Maduro’s claim to victory, and called for an independent verification of the vote.

Feds warn of ‘low-level’ cyberattacks to deny access to election info

(Associated Press/File)

Cyberattackers may overwhelm U.S. election-related websites with traffic to block access to information such as unofficial vote counts happening on Election Night, according to the FBI and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA).

joint warning issued by the FBI and CISA last week called attention to the prospect of “Distributed Denial of Service” or DDoS attacks on election infrastructure and election-adjacent websites that the officials say will not disrupt the vote.

“These low-level attacks, which are expected to continue as we approach the 2024 U.S. general election, could disrupt the availability of some election-related functions, like voter look-up tools or unofficial election night reporting, during the election cycle but will not impact voting itself,” the warning stated. “Threat actors may falsely claim that DDoS attacks are indicative of a compromise related to the elections process as they seek to undermine confidence in U.S. elections.”

Chinese and Russian spies named 'most significant' counterspy threat

In this photo released on July 18, 2024, by Xinhua News Agency Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks at the third plenary session of the 20th Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held from July 15 to 18 in Beijing. (Xie Huanchi/Xinhua via AP) ** FILE **

Cooperation among foreign spy services hostile to the United States is increasing, according to the new National Counterintelligence Strategy, which cites China and Russia as representing the “most significant” threats, while “a range of other state and non-state actors” are also targeting the United States.

The strategy document, released by the White House last week, homes in on spying and technology theft by Chinese intelligence operatives and, for the first time, calls for “a strategic counterintelligence program” to disrupt or compromise foreign spies who work to damage U.S. national security before they can act.

In addition to spies from China and Russia, the strategy document warns that Iran, North Korea and other foreign state and non-state groups seek to “cause grave harm to the United States, its people and institutions.”

“Our leading adversaries view themselves as already engaged in an intense, multifaceted competition with the United States. As such, their intelligence services frequently conduct more aggressive operations that fall in the ‘gray zone,’ a space between war and peace that encompasses intelligence activities that push the boundaries of accepted norms, such as covert influence, political subversion and operations in cyberspace,” the document states. “We also see our leading adversaries cooperating more frequently with one another, enhancing the threat they pose to the United States.”

Opinion front: U.S. must learn from Ukraine about drone warfare

United States, Ukraine and drone warfare illustration by Alexander Hunter/The Washington Times

U.S. ground combat systems, including tanks and air defense rockets, are less effective and efficient against the enemy’s much cheaper drones, according to Shea Bradley-Farrell, who writes that this “has become remarkably clear through U.S. participation in the Russia-Ukraine war.”

“Americans are paying top dollar for military equipment that provides much lower value on the battlefield as willful and negligent politicians and defense contractors maintain the status quo to keep lining their pockets,” writes Ms. Bradley-Farrell.

“The U.S. must focus on upgrading U.S. weapons systems quickly,” she writes, asserting that “Congress should stop blindly using the same defense contractors and spending money on weapons that are quickly becoming obsolete, and instead pursue U.S. dominance in artificial intelligence, drone innovation and application.”

America isn’t ready for the wars of the future

Then-Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff U.S. General Mark A. Milley addresses the media during a meeting of NATO defense ministers at NATO headquarters in Brussels, June 15, 2023. (AP Photo/Virginia Mayo, File)

The wars of the future “will be dominated by increasingly autonomous weapons systems and powerful algorithms,” according to former Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Mark A. Milley and former Google CEO Eric Schmidt.

The two warn in an essay penned for Foreign Affairs that if the United States wants to remain the preeminent global power, it will have to overhaul its entire defense apparatus—and ensure that robots and AI are deployed in an ethical manner. “Washington won’t get it exactly right,” they write. “But it must get it less wrong than its enemies.”

Events on our radar

• Aug. 6 — Organized Crime & Violence in Mexico: Considerations for Future Nearshoring Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Wilson Center

• Aug. 7 — Preserving the Free Flow of Commerce in the Red Sea and Beyond: An Update from Fifth Fleet Commander VADM George Wikoff, USN, Center for Strategic and International Studies

• Aug. 7 — Navigating Global Challenges: A Conversation with Vice Commandant of the Coast Guard Admiral Lunday, Brookings Institution

• Aug. 8 — Over the Brink: Escalation Management in a Protracted U.S.-PRC Conflict, Center for a New American Security

• Aug. 12 — How Local Authorities Make Decisions in the Myanmar Civil War, Stimson Center

 

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