No. 4 PITTSBURGH PENGUINS vs. No. 2 WASHINGTON CAPITALS
THREE REASONS THE PENGUINS CAN WIN
1. EXPERIENCE
The Capitals’ young core has won seven Stanley Cup playoff games. Pittsburgh’s guys have won 19, coming within two victories of capturing a Stanley Cup last season. How the teams handle the hype and frenzy surrounding this series could play a part in what unfolds on the ice. In the past year, the Penguins have had two series against their biggest rivals, the Philadelphia Flyers, and the exposure to last year’s finals against Detroit.
2. SIDNEY CROSBY
Love him or hate him - it is pretty clear the fans at Verizon Center are part of the latter group - Crosby has proved he will carry his team in the postseason. He was tied for the NHL lead in playoff scoring last season and is one point behind teammate Evgeni Malkin this year. Alex Ovechkin and Malkin might provide the sizzle, but it could be Crosby and/or Nicklas Backstrom’s defensive work that turns this series.
3. HISTORY
This will be the franchises’ eighth meeting in the playoffs; six times the Penguins have prevailed. The names on the backs of the jerseys have changed, but the ones on the front have not. Think Caps fans were restless when their team was tied 1-1 with the Rangers in Game 7 — what happens if Washington falls behind Pittsburgh 2-0 at Verizon? The players might say it doesn’t matter, but that “here we go again” feeling of pending doom could show up at some point in the next two weeks.
THREE REASONS THE CAPS CAN WIN
1. OFFENSIVE DEPTH
Sure, the Penguins have Malkin and Crosby, two of the league’s top three scorers this season. But the Caps have more offensive depth behind Ovechkin. Either Backstrom or Alexander Semin is better than Pittsburgh’s No. 3 guy (either Bill Guerin or Chris Kunitz). Mike Green had a better offensive year than Sergei Gonchar. Sergei Fedorov, Brooks Laich and Viktor Kozlov can provide more punch. Even adding Chris Clark could be a boost. For the Penguins, Petr Sykora has gone AWOL, which hurts their forward depth.
2. RECENT RESULTS
There is plenty of negative history for the Caps when it comes to playing Pittsburgh, but they have been the better team in the series since Bruce Boudreau came along. Washington is 4-1-2 against Pittsburgh with Boudreau in charge, and the one regulation loss came when Backstrom put the puck in his own net with less than a minute to play last season. The Penguins have not handled Boudreau’s aggressive style well, yielding 28 goals in six games.
3. SIMEON VARLAMOV
The kid has allowed seven goals in six games. It is hard for a team to lose four times in a seven-game series if its goaltender is allowing barely more than one goal a game. Granted, the Caps managed to lose twice to the Rangers with Varlamov in net, and the Penguins should provide a much stiffer challenge, but the 21-year-old Russian has been unflappable. Varlamov and Pittsburgh counterpart Marc-Andre Fleury are going to give up goals, but how they bounce back will play a major role in the series’ outcome.
Penguins lines
FORWARDS
First line
Chris Kunitz
Sidney Crosby
Bill Guerin
Second line
Ruslan Fedotenko
Evgeni Malkin
Max Talbot
Third line
Matt Cooke
Jordan Staal
Tyler Kennedy
Fourth line
Pascal Dupuis
Craig Adams
Miroslav Satan
DEFENSEMEN
First pair
Brooks Orpik
Sergei Gonchar
Second pair
Hall Gill
Rob Scuderi
Third pair
Mark Eaton
Kris Letang
GOALIES
Marc-Andre Fleury
Mathieu Garon
Extras: Petr Sykora, Eric Godard, Philippe Boucher
SPOTLIGHT ON:
Penguins D Sergei Gonchar
He serves many roles for the Penguins and plays in all situations, and he was a key figure in helping the team reverse its course about the time Dan Bylsma became coach. Gonchar is going to hear it from the fans at Verizon Center every time he touches the puck. It is possible the team’s big guns up front will cancel one another out, so if Gonchar were to outplay Mike Green, it could have a big impact.
Capitals lines
FORWARDS
First line
Alex Ovechkin
Sergei Fedorov
Viktor Kozlov
Second line
Tomas Fleischmann
Nicklas Backstrom
Alexander Semin
Third line
Brooks Laich
David Steckel
Matt Bradley
Fourth line
Chris Clark
Boyd Gordon
Eric Fehr
DEFENSEMEN
First pair
Shaone Morrisonn
Mike Green
Second pair
Tom Poti
Milan Jurcina
Third pair
John Erskine
Brian Pothier
GOALIES
Simeon Varlamov
Jose Theodore
Extras: Michael Nylander, Donald Brashear, Jeff Schultz
SPOTLIGHT ON:
Capitals C Nicklas Backstrom
Much of the attention is going to focus on Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Alex Ovechkin and Alexander Semin. What are they going to say? How much are they going to hit one another? Backstrom is the guy outside those four who can take over this series with his play and shift the balance dramatically in Washington’s favor. Don’t think that Semin’s five goals in the first series didn’t have something to do with having No. 19 skating next to him.
• Corey Masisak can be reached at cmasisak@washingtontimes.com.
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